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The market

Every business, eventually. Solo and micro first.

Simma is built for any business, in any country. It starts with the smallest service businesses in the UK, and climbs from there.

TAM · everyone who could use it£405bnEvery business in the world, if all of them ran on Simma. £118bn of it is in the UK and US.
SAM · who we can serve£115bnUK and US businesses with fewer than 250 staff: 30.5m of them, at the v10 draft prices.
SOM · what we aim to win£166mA revenue run rate by the end of year five: month 60's revenue × 12 (subscriptions, AI credits and Simma's payment fees, Free accounts' fees included), from 53,513 paying customers, about £3,090 each. Not the same as year 5's revenue (£120.9m) or the subscription run rate (£103.4m). The financial model.
Where we start

Instructors first: people who teach for a living.

Dance and music teachers, sports and fitness coaches, driving instructors. One person, or a small studio, running a timetable, bookings, payments and a website between classes. That's where Simma is built and tested today.

413kUK education and sport businesses with up to nine staff. Most are self-employed.Business Population Estimates 2025
15,560of them are registered instructor businesses and studios: sports coaching 5,825 · dance, music and art 2,135 · driving schools 2,140 · fitness 5,460.ONS UK Business Counts 2026
271paying customers at the end of year one is 1.7% of the registered studios, or 0.07% of the wider group.the year-one plan

Then the rest of the beachhead: 17.9m UK and US service businesses with up to nine staff (£51bn a year). Hairdressers, trades and professional services run on the same record; the Cascade gives each its own words and front desk.

How we work it out

What one business pays Simma, size by size.

Two parts: the subscription for its plan, and Simma's cut of the payments it takes by card. Averages for each size, from official turnover and headcount.

Solono staffMicro1–9 staffSmall10–49 staffMedium50–249 staffEnterprise250+ staff
People in the businesson average, owner included1.13.619.696.31,338
The planLite £99 or Starter £229 a month inc. VAT (about £137 a month to Simma)Starter £229 inc. VAT or Growth £449 + VATPro, £799 a month + extra membersScale, £1,499 a month + extra membersContract: about £5,000 a month
Subscriptiona year£1,640£3,959£10,068£19,188£60,000
Turnovera year, on average£94k£608k£3.5m£24.3m£311.7m
Paid by card through Simma Payshare of turnover24%21%19%14%—
Simma's cut of each card paymentits own fee, card cost passed on1.75%1.28%0.70%0.60%—
Simma Pay revenuea year£333£1,503£4,729£21,030£0
ARPC: revenue per customera year£1,973£5,462£14,797£40,218£60,000
a month£164£455£1,233£3,352£5,000
Of which from payments17%28%32%52%0%
ARPU: revenue per persona month£149£126£63£35£4

ARPC is average revenue per customer (one business); ARPU is per person working in it. Card share is an assumption by industry: 60% of turnover for consumer businesses, 20% for trades and professional services, 5% for business-to-business. Simma's cut is its own fee on the plan (the card's cost is passed on to the business and is not counted), with the fixed fee spread over an average £25 payment. In the UK, Free, Lite and Starter prices include VAT, and the model assumes their Simma Pay fee does too, so Simma keeps five-sixths of it (pending accountant review). Enterprises invoice and use their own processors, so no payments revenue is counted. UK: Business Population Estimates 2025. US: Census Bureau 2022, $1.30 = £1.

Franchise networks

One head office, many locations.

Franchise networks are a second route to customers: a head office buys, and its locations run on the same platform. For scale, the British Franchise Association counts 1,009 UK franchise systems and just under 50,500 units (BFA), and the IFA projects 845,000 US franchise establishments in 2026 (IFA). Those are the industry, measured differently in each country, not Simma's market: they are not added to the figures on this page. Franchise networks →

How Simma grows

Start small. Climb one step at a time.

Each step up has fewer businesses, and each one pays more. Simma earns its place on one step before it takes the next.

Solono staff£2.0k a year each
Year 1
Micro1–9 staff£5.5k a year each
Year 1
Small10–49£14.8k a year each
From year 2
Medium50–249£40.2k a year each
From year 2
Enterprise250+£60.0k a year each
From year 3

The numbers behind each step →

An ambition, not the plan

What £1bn a year would take.

For scale, not a forecast, and not part of the five-year model: at today's draft prices, about 276,000 paying businesses (with 300,000 more on Free) would bring in about £1.03bn a year, or £943m after Stripe Connect's charges. That is a ten-year-plus picture: service businesses well beyond fitness, and several countries. About 669,000 paying businesses would take it past £2.6bn.

PlanRevenue per customer a yearCustomersRevenue
Free£48300,000£14m
Lite£1,652160,000£264m
Starter£3,26875,000£245m
Growth£7,32727,000£198m
Pro£12,4629,000£112m
Scale£24,1703,500£85m
Enterprise£71,3321,500£107m
Total276,000 paying£1.03bn

Revenue per customer at full Simma Pay take-up, before VAT: subscription, AI credits and Simma's payment fees. Illustrative mix; the model's own plan is 53,513 paying customers at the end of year five.

The numbers

The five sizes, UK and US.

Every count is official. What each business could pay is the plan for its size plus Simma's payment fee on its turnover.

SizeBusinessesPeopleEach pays, UKEach pays, USAll of themSimma reaches it
Solono staff22.8m23.1m£1,973£1,911£43.7bnYear 1
Micro1–9 staff6.2m17.2m£5,462£6,045£36.9bnYear 1
Small10–491.3m26.0m£14,797£17,203£21.9bnFrom year 2
Medium50–249241k23.4m£40,218£53,168£12.3bnFrom year 2
Enterprise250+53k92.4m£60,000£60,000£3.2bnFrom year 3

UK Business Population Estimates 2025; US Census Bureau 2022 (solo filers over $10,000). "Each pays" is a year. Enterprise is a contract at the model's average of £5,000 a month, with no payments counted. How each number is built is in the workings at the bottom.

Country by country

One country at a time. Each opens when Simma Pay does.

The UK first, the US in year three, then the English-speaking markets and the EU. A new country is mostly configuration: the Cascade already holds the currency, tax, formats and law for 23 countries. What gates each one is taking payments there.

WaveCountryBusinessesWhat opens itWhen
Wave 01
United Kingdom
DBT Business Population Estimates, start of 2025
5.69mSimma Pay, the UK layer of the Cascade and the first customers are hereNow
Wave 02
United States
Census Bureau 2022: 6.40m employer firms, 29.8m solo
36.2mSimma Pay and the US layer open togetherYear 3
Wave 03
Ireland
CSO, active enterprises, 2023
401,359Upside, not in the planAfter year 5
Wave 03
Australia
ABS, actively trading businesses, June 2025
2.73mUpside, not in the planAfter year 5
Wave 03
Canada
ISED, employer businesses only, December 2024
1.10mUpside, not in the planAfter year 5
Wave 03
New Zealand
Stats NZ, enterprises, February 2025
617,330Upside, not in the planAfter year 5
Wave 04
European Union
Eurostat, enterprises in the business economy, 2023
33.1mUpside, not in the planLater

Each count is the latest official figure, and they are not like for like: Canada counts employer businesses only; the EU counts the business economy. The plan and the calculator include only the UK and the US. The Cascade's 23 countries are configuration, not markets served: see Status.

Try it yourself

Pick a scenario. Then move the customers around.

Three starting points for year five. Drag each size up or down and the revenue, the mix and the people it reaches change with it.

Revenue a year, at the end of year five
£0
0 customers · 0% subscriptions, the rest Simma Pay
0people work in those businesses
0%of UK and US businesses under 250 staff
Where the revenue comes from

Revenue per customer is the market average for its size and country, from official turnover. Plan is the financial model's 53,513 paying customers at the end of year five, its plans mapped to sizes; at market-average revenue it differs from the model's £166m run rate, which uses the plan's own payment volumes. Scenarios, not forecasts.

What the pre-seed needs

Proof the model works, by month six.

The pre-seed (about £1.5m) is raised from month five, on the Angel round's evidence: 30 paying customers by month six, two Local Partners winning about 10 each and keeping them, and what each one costs. Its final size and price are set by that evidence.

CustomersMonthly revenueA year, at that rate
30 by month six · the target£6,960£83,600
About 271 by the end of year one · the plan£59,020£708,200
  • 01Evidence before size. UK companies at the earliest stage (the British Business Bank's seed stage, where the typical round was £0.6m) had a median pre-money valuation of £3.2m in 2025, the highest on record (Small Business Equity Tracker 2026). The pre-seed's final size follows what the first six months show; the funding roadmap sets out the steps after it.
  • 02The trend, not just the total. New paying customers per Partner each month, how many stay and how much runs through Simma Pay, shown month by month.
  • 03A repeatable way in. Partner #2 wins customers the way Partner #1 did, through the wedge of instructors and studios and the channels on the Go-to-market page, so the next hundred look like the first thirty.

Revenue per customer: about £2,790 a year before VAT (subscription, AI credits and Simma's payment fees, with 60% using Simma Pay), for the model's first-customer mix of 55% Lite at £1,650, 35% Starter at £3,270 and 10% Growth at £7,330. Year one's monthly revenue is the model's month 12, before Simma Pay is fully taken up. About 271 is the plan's year-one figure, an output of the monthly model; the first round's target is 30 by month six. See The ask for the six-month budget.

Why now

AI expands both the market and what Simma can earn from it.

Today's small businesses are the market these numbers measure. We believe AI could also raise the number of viable solo and small businesses, by giving individuals capabilities that used to need a team. And AI lets software reach work that businesses have always bought as services. The market sizing on this page counts software and payments only. It excludes AI labour and Partner-delivered services.

Read the full Why now thesis →

The workings

Every number, and how it's built.

What each business could pay Simma, by size and country

United Kingdom

SizeBusinessesAvg peopleSubscriptionSimma Pay feesPer businessSize band
Solo4,255,2801.1£1,640£333£1,973£8.4bn
Micro1,150,8753.6£3,959£1,503£5,462£6.3bn
Small220,08519.6£10,068£4,729£14,797£3.3bn
Medium38,43596.3£19,188£21,030£40,218£1.5bn
Enterprise8,3351338.0£60,000£0£60,000£0.5bn

United States

SizeBusinessesAvg peopleSubscriptionSimma Pay feesPer businessSize band
Solo18,499,4891.0£1,640£271£1,911£35.3bn
Micro5,063,1762.6£3,959£2,086£6,045£30.6bn
Small1,084,68920.0£10,068£7,135£17,203£18.7bn
Medium202,97597.0£19,188£33,980£53,168£10.8bn
Enterprise44,7951814.4£60,000£0£60,000£2.7bn

Per business = the plan for its size + Simma's payment fee on the share of its turnover taken by card. v10: solo half Lite (£99 inc. VAT) half Starter (£229 inc. VAT); micro half Starter half Growth (£449 + VAT); small Pro (£799); medium Scale (£1,499); extra members at the model's averages; enterprise a £5,000-a-month contract, no payments counted. Before VAT; outside the UK the UK price before VAT.

The assumptions
  • Share of turnover taken by card through Simma Pay: 60% for consumer businesses (retail, hospitality, education, health, arts and leisure, personal services), 20% for construction and trades, motor trade, professional, admin and support services, and 5% for everything else (manufacturing, wholesale, transport, IT, finance, property, farming, utilities).
  • An average payment of £25, which turns each plan's fixed fee into a percentage. $1.30 = £1.
  • Simma's payment fees (v10): Lite 1.5% + 15p, Starter 1% + 10p, Growth 0.75% + 10p, Pro 0.5% + 5p, Scale 0.4% + 5p. The card's cost is passed on to the business at what Stripe charges and is not counted; Stripe Connect's charges are a cost in the financial model, not taken off here.
  • SAM: UK and US businesses of every industry with fewer than 250 staff. Beachhead: UK and US service businesses (the wedge) with up to nine staff, solo included.
  • World: UK + US spend per head scaled to each World Bank income group by income per head (x3.43 overall, unchanged from v9).
Sources and what they leave out
  • DBT Business Population Estimates 2025, detailed tables, Table 6 (start 2025).
  • US Census Bureau: Statistics of US Businesses 2022; Nonemployer Statistics 2022.
  • UK: 16 size-band rows suppressed in Table 6 and left out; finance turnover is not published.
  • US: 11,312,006 solo filers with receipts under $10,000 left out; the 200-299 band is split half to medium, half to enterprise. Employer-firm employment counts employees, not owners.
  • British Business Bank, Small Business Equity Tracker 2025 (calendar 2024), as reported by The Carry, June 2026.
The five-year customer plan

About 271 in year one, 1,670 by year two, 53,500 by year five.

Why this business wins it.